![\"\u00abDuurzaam](\"http:\/\/www.freedonia.fr\/200611\/2eChambre2006.jpg\")
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Aux Pays-Bas, plus \u00e7a change et plus c’est la m\u00eame chose. Les trois partis traditionnels (travailliste, d\u00e9mochr\u00e9tien et lib\u00e9ral) r\u00e9alisent, en cumul de si\u00e8ges, leur deuxi\u00e8me plus mauvais score de tous les temps apr\u00e8s 2002 — l’ann\u00e9e o\u00f9 Fortuyn et son assassinat donn\u00e8rent un grand coup de pied dans la politique de papa. <\/p>\n
A droite, les lib\u00e9raux\/conservateurs VVD, en d\u00e9pit de la campagne de choc de l’ex-matonne et ministre \u00abde l’int\u00e9gration\u00bb Rita Verdonk, voient leurs positions s’\u00e9roder, notamment au profit du dissident villi\u00e9ro\u00efde Geert Wilders, qui r\u00e9cup\u00e8re aussi une partie des voix de la Liste Fortuyn, qui dispara\u00eet du paysage. L’Appel d\u00e9mocrate-chr\u00e9tien du Premier ministre Harry Potter se tasse, mais reste le premier parti du pays, et compte donc fermement conduire le prochain gouvernement. <\/p>\n
A gauche, le PvdA (dire \u00abP van de A\u00bb) s’effondre litt\u00e9ralement au profit du Parti socialiste (mao\u00efstes refondateurs). Sa t\u00eate de liste, Wouter Bos, a commis plusieurs belles bourdes de campagne, sur le th\u00e8me de la fiscalisation des grosses retraites et sur les partenaires de coalition envisageables, qui ont permis au CDA de lui coller l’image du \u00abflip-flopper\u00bb ch\u00e8re \u00e0 la comm’ de crise politique contemporaine. La Gauche verte stagne. Le SP r\u00e9cup\u00e8re aussi, par son discours eurosceptique, une partie de la mise de Fortuyn. <\/p>\n
Ailleurs, la force d’appoint r\u00e9formatrice D66 sauve sa peau (notamment gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 ses appels du pied \u00e0 la communaut\u00e9 turque), les calvinistes sociaux de l’Union chr\u00e9tienne ont pratiquement joui en direct devant les cam\u00e9ras (je n’exag\u00e8re pas) tant leur score historique (6 si\u00e8ges) fait d’eux l’incontournable partenaire de tous. Stabilit\u00e9 du SGP, les givr\u00e9s de l’Eglise re-r\u00e9form\u00e9e. Entr\u00e9e surprise \u00e0 la chambre d’un parti pro-animaux, qui maintient l’illusion de cette Dutch Touch de tol\u00e9rance et de n’importe quoi libertaire. <\/p>\n
R\u00e9sultat des courses, et comme d’habitude, la reine a nomm\u00e9 un \u00abinformateur\u00bb (d\u00e9brouillard de l’entregent) et lui a offert une calculatrice \u00e0 coalitions, qui compte jusqu’\u00e0 75. Ca peut lui prendre entre un et six mois pour savoir qui veut gouverner avec qui, le pourquoi important plus ou moins. Possibilit\u00e9s arithm\u00e9tiques \u00e9voqu\u00e9es pour l’heure:
\n– CDA-PvdA-SP, ce que veut le PvdA et permettrait au SP d’acc\u00e9der aux responsabilit\u00e9s;
\n– Plus probable, CDA-CU-PvDA, \u00absocial-chr\u00e9tien\u00bb, mais le PvdA craint de se faire plus encore d\u00e9border sur sa gauche.
\n\/\/
\nIn the Netherlands, the more it achanges, the more it’s the same. The three traditional parties (Labour, Christian-Democratic and Liberal) obtain the second grouping seats-cumul in history, after ’02 — the year Fortuyn and his death kiscked the ass of daddy’s politics. <\/p>\n
On the right, in spite of the shock-campaign of former warden and \u00ab\u00a0Integration\u00a0\u00bb minister Rita Verdonk, the Liberal\/Conservatives of VVD decline. Their withdrawal benefits, inter alia, the UKIP-alike dissident Geert Wilders, who also gets his hand on some of the voters of List Fortuyn’s, who in turn disappears from the lanscape. The Christian-Democratic Appeal of PM Harry Potter shrinks but remains the first party nationally. They therefore have the strong will to lead the next government. <\/p>\n
On the left, the PvdA (say \u00ab\u00a0Peh van de Ah\u00a0\u00bb) litteraly collapses to the benefit of the Socialist Party (reconstructed Maoists). The chief candidate Wouter Bos committed several campaign blunders about taxing big pensions and possible coalition partners, so that the CDA could label him a \u00ab\u00a0flip-flopper\u00a0\u00bb — the way political crisis communication does, these days. The Green Left stagnates. SP, for one, also get part of Fortuyn’s stake, thanks to its Euro-sceptic pronuncements. <\/p>\n
Elsewhere, the reformers of D66, a usual coalition extra, save their head (thanks notably to their appeal to the Turkish community). Social Calvinists of the Christian Union almost came live on TV (I’m *not* exagerating here): their historical scoring (6 seats) makes them the unavoidable partners of all others. Good maintenance of SGP, the Re-Reformed Church’s wackos. Surprise entrance in the House of a Pro-animal Party, just to uphold the illusion of a tolerant, \u00ab\u00a0anything-goes\u00a0\u00bb libertarian Dutch Touch. <\/p>\n
However, as a result, the Queen appointed an \u00ab\u00a0informer\u00a0\u00bb (gifted go-between) and gave him a coalition calculator, which counts up to 75. It can take him one to six months to know who wants to govern with whom, the why being more or less important. Numerical possibilities currently talked about:
\n– CDA-PvdA-SP, which the PvdA wants, and who allow SP to access to Cabinet responsabilities;
\n– More likely, CDA-CU-PvDA, \u00ab\u00a0social-Christian\u00a0\u00bb, but PvdA fears to get even more outflanked on its left. <\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Aux Pays-Bas, plus \u00e7a change et plus c’est la m\u00eame chose. Les trois partis traditionnels (travailliste, d\u00e9mochr\u00e9tien et lib\u00e9ral) r\u00e9alisent, en cumul de si\u00e8ges, leur deuxi\u00e8me plus mauvais score de tous les temps apr\u00e8s 2002 — l’ann\u00e9e o\u00f9 Fortuyn et son assassinat donn\u00e8rent un grand coup de pied dans la politique de papa. A droite, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1407","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-b2"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.freedonia.fr\/blogWP\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1407","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.freedonia.fr\/blogWP\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.freedonia.fr\/blogWP\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.freedonia.fr\/blogWP\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.freedonia.fr\/blogWP\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1407"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.freedonia.fr\/blogWP\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1407\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.freedonia.fr\/blogWP\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1407"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.freedonia.fr\/blogWP\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1407"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.freedonia.fr\/blogWP\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1407"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}